If you've stopped by Student Doctor or pre-med Reddit, you've seen dozens of threads that ask, “What are my chances?” On the one hand, it seems perfectly natural to ask such a question. Only 40% of applicants get in each year, so it's logical to be concerned. There's also a social component: everyone in your life knows you're applying to med school. Your friends, your parents, their friends... everyone is rooting for you. Get in, and you've pleased just about everyone in your life. Get rejected and it's easy to think you've disappointed more than just yourself.
But just because it’s a valid question does not mean you should trust strangers on the internet (myself included!) to tell you whether or not you can achieve your life's ambition. Instead, I’ve made a video to help you figure out how to answer this question for yourself.